Following the Q1 earnings, Eternal shares enjoy a significant surge. Should I buy, sell, or hold


Eternal Shares Surge 14% to Record High on Strong Q1FY26 Results

Shares of Eternal, the parent company of Zomato and Blinkit, soared nearly 14% on Tuesday, hitting a 52-week high of ₹311.60 on the Bombay Stock Exchange. The sharp rally was driven by the company’s robust first-quarter results for FY26, showcasing growth across all verticals, especially in quick commerce.

Key Highlights from Q1FY26 Results:

  • Consolidated adjusted revenue: ₹7,563 crore, up 67% YoY and 22% QoQ.

  • Quick commerce Net Order Value (NOV): ₹9,203 crore, up 127% YoY — surpassing food delivery for the first time.

  • Blinkit Gross Order Value: ₹11,820 crore.

  • Profitability: Margins improved from -2.4% of NOV in Q4FY25 to -1.8% in Q1FY26, despite continued investments and seasonal costs.

  • Going-out vertical (dining + events): Now a ₹8,000 crore annualised business, growing at 35% YoY.

  • Food delivery contribution margin: Slight dip from 10.3% to 9.9%, but customer engagement is picking up again.

Brokerages React — Mostly Positive:

  • Jefferies: Upgraded from Hold to Buy, target raised from ₹250 to ₹400, citing faster-than-expected path to profitability in quick commerce.

  • Nomura: Maintained Buy, raised target to ₹300 from ₹280.

  • Nuvama Institutional Equities: Revised target to ₹320, highlighting benefits from the inventory-led model and maturing dark stores.

  • Motilal Oswal and ICICI Securities: Targets raised to ₹310 and ₹315, respectively.

  • Macquarie: Remains cautious, retaining Underperform with a target of ₹150, citing high competition and profitability risks.

Management Outlook:

  • Targeting 15% NOV growth for FY26.

  • Confident of sustaining momentum across food delivery, quick commerce, and going-out verticals for at least the next two years.

  • Focus remains on operating leverage, improving margins, and expanding customer base.

Verdict: Buy, Hold or Sell?

Analyst sentiment is divided:

  • Bulls see a multi-year growth story with improved execution and margin expansion.

  • Bears warn of competition, scaling risks, and profit sustainability.

However, the stock crossing ₹300 indicates that, for now, the market is leaning bullish.


 

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