Inside the US-Iran agreement that Trump claims is close: frozen funds, Hormuz reopening


A potential diplomatic breakthrough between the United States and Iran is taking shape as negotiators work on a memorandum of understanding that could significantly reduce tensions after months of conflict. The proposed agreement extends far beyond a simple ceasefire and seeks to address some of the most contentious issues dividing the two countries, including sanctions, maritime security in the Strait of Hormuz, frozen Iranian assets, and the future of Iran's nuclear programme.

One of the central provisions of the draft agreement is the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, one of the world's most critical energy corridors. Under the proposal, the waterway would resume normal operations without restrictions, tolls, or military blockades. Commercial shipping traffic would gradually return to pre-conflict levels within approximately thirty days. Given that a substantial portion of the world's oil and liquefied natural gas exports pass through the strait, reopening it would likely ease pressure on global energy markets and reduce fears of supply disruptions.

The agreement also offers significant economic incentives for Iran. Reports indicate that the United States may suspend sanctions on Iranian oil and petrochemical exports and allow Tehran renewed access to international financial channels. Additionally, approximately 24 billion dollars in frozen Iranian assets could be released in phases. However, the exact timing and conditions for releasing these funds remain a major point of negotiation. Iran seeks immediate access to part of the money, while Washington reportedly wants financial relief to be tied directly to Iranian compliance with the agreement's terms.

Beyond economic and maritime issues, the memorandum is intended to create a framework for future nuclear negotiations. The current ceasefire would reportedly be extended by sixty days, giving both sides time to address concerns surrounding Iran's nuclear activities. Iran would reaffirm that it does not seek to acquire nuclear weapons and would participate in measures designed to address international concerns about its stockpile of enriched uranium. One proposal reportedly under discussion would involve reducing the enrichment level of existing uranium stocks under international supervision while allowing inspections by United Nations monitors.

Despite the apparent progress, several obstacles remain before any agreement can be finalised. Iranian officials have acknowledged that substantial portions of the text have been completed but insist that final approval has not yet been granted. Tehran has stated that some new demands introduced during negotiations have complicated the process and emphasized that it will not compromise on what it considers its core national interests. As a result, the agreement still requires approval from Iran's highest leadership before it can move forward.

Speculation has grown regarding a possible signing ceremony in Europe, with Switzerland emerging as a potential venue. Some reports suggest that a formal signing could occur within days, while other Iranian officials have cautioned that no decision has been made regarding either the location or timing. Publicly, both sides continue to project optimism while carefully avoiding definitive commitments.

For now, negotiations remain active, and diplomats are working to resolve the remaining differences. If the memorandum is ultimately approved and implemented, it could reopen a vital global trade route, ease economic pressure on Iran, reduce the risk of further military confrontation, and create an opportunity for broader discussions on regional security and nuclear issues. However, until final approval is secured and the agreement is formally signed, uncertainty continues to surround the process.


 

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