Tensions have reached a zenith on the Korean Peninsula, with Kim Jong Un ramping up his weapons development endeavors at an unprecedented pace. This escalation was underscored by North Korea's launch of multiple cruise missiles into waters off its western coast on Tuesday (local time), marking the third instance of such weapon tests this month. South Korea’s military reported the launches, indicating the North's persistence in showcasing its expanding arsenal aimed at outmatching its adversaries' defenses.
The South Korean Joint Chiefs of Staff announced the missile launches, detected around 7 am, with ongoing analysis being conducted by both South Korean and US forces. However, specific details regarding the number of missiles fired, their range, and the launch platforms were not immediately disclosed.
This latest missile launch follows similar tests on January 24 and January 28 involving the Pulhwasal-3-31 cruise missile, purportedly intended for submarine deployment. In response to the second launch, Kim Jong Un reaffirmed his ambition to develop a nuclear-capable navy, citing perceived external threats. Nonetheless, it remains unclear whether Sunday's water launch was conducted from an actual submarine or an underwater platform.
Kim's aggressive weapons development agenda has heightened tensions on the Korean Peninsula to unprecedented levels, accompanied by provocative nuclear rhetoric targeting the United States, South Korea, and Japan. In response, the US and its Asian allies have bolstered joint military exercises, featuring strategic assets like aircraft carriers, long-range bombers, and nuclear-powered submarines. Moreover, deterrence strategies have been sharpened, with South Korea seeking enhanced assurances from the US regarding swift and resolute nuclear response in the face of a North Korean nuclear attack.
The North's recent tests, including a new solid-fuel intermediate-range missile on January 14, underscore its efforts to enhance weapons capable of targeting US assets in the Pacific, including Guam. As Kim solidifies his nuclear arsenal and strengthens ties with Russia, concerns mount over potential escalations in the lead-up to elections in the US and South Korea.
Beyond weapons tests, there are rising apprehensions in South Korea regarding direct provocations from the North. In early January, the North conducted artillery drills near the disputed western sea border, prompting reciprocal actions from the South. Despite causing no casualties or damage, the skirmishes reignited tensions in an area historically prone to conflict.
During a fervent parliamentary address in Pyongyang on January 15, Kim declared a departure from the pursuit of peaceful unification with South Korea, instead labeling it as the North's foremost foreign adversary. Kim's rhetoric hinted at a willingness to resort to nuclear force if provoked, reflecting the North's strategic shift towards asserting its nuclear status and negotiating from a position of strength.
Experts suggest that North Korea's objectives include diminishing South Korea's influence in international negotiations while positioning itself for direct engagement with the US to secure relief from sanctions.